My winter forecast went a bit awry in December – I predicted a mean of +0.8C, the outcome was +1.7C. January has been much better, I predicted -1.2C, the outcome is -1.1C! Also… “And another cold spell end of January into the first week of February?”
For February I predicted a mean of -1.7C. The current pattern to continue and signs on the EC of a more robust cold spell with air supplied by a Scandinavian high?
August was a big let down in a summer that saw the mean temperature nationally match the UK’s best-ever summers.
The mean temperature finished 18.9C, 0.7C above average.
Some 69.5mm of rainfall was recorded, 139 per cent of the 1981-2010 average. Some 169 hours of sunshine were recorded, 87 per cent of average. Apart from being 1.5C warmer than average it was a carbon copy of last August.
July 2018 was the warmest month locally in a record going back to 1797. The mean temperature of 21.7C is 3.2C above the 1981-2010 average and exceeds the previous warmest July (1983) by 0.3C. Indeed, it is the warmest calendar month ever.
Just 16.7mm of rain fell, all of it coming after the 47 day long drought ended with a thunderstorm on the 27th. The amount is 38 per cent of average and is the driest July since 2010 and 7th driest in the local record.
There were 273 hours of sunshine, 142 per cent of average, making it the sunniest for five years and 10th sunniest on record.
As well as many hot days the lack of rainfall was most noticeable with catastrophic results on Wanstead Flats.
The warmest day occurred on the 26th with 34.7C.
The wettest day occurred on the 27th with 7.3mm falling.
This June will probably be most remembered for the lack of rainfall throughout the month. I recorded just 0.7mm of rain over the 30 days – the driest June in a local record going back to 1797, 0.4mm less than the previous driest June in 1925.
As I write this the area is now experiencing its 24th day of ‘meteorological drought’ conditions with little prospect of anything heavy anytime soon. The month was in stark contrast to May which saw may downpours associated with thunderstorms.
It was a warm month. The mean temperature finished 18.1C, exactly 2C above average, though slightly down on last June and the 7th= warmest since 1797.
Some 231.4hrs of sunshine were recorded, 130 per cent of average, making it the sunniest May for 8 years, and the 30th sunniest since 1881.
The warmest day occurred on the 25th with 30C.
The wettest day occurred on the 9th with 0.4mm falling.
Summary for June 2018
Mean (1 minute) 17.7
Mean (min+max) 18.0
Mean Minimum 12.3
Mean Maximum 23.8
Minimum 6.4 day 12
Maximum 30.0 day 25
Highest Minimum 17.8 day 18
Lowest Maximum 17.9 day 04
Air frosts 0
Total for month 0.7
Wettest day 0.4 day 09
High rain rate 4.0 day 09
Rain days 1
Dry days 29
Highest Gust 18.3 day 14
Average Speed 3.1
Wind Run 2199.7 miles
Gale days 0
Maximum 1029.9 day 21
Minimum 1008.2 day 14
Days with snow falling 0
Days with snow lying at 0900 0
Total hours of sunshine 231.4
Elsewhere in the UK it has been a very dry month across England.
Two CET stations, Rothamsted and Pershore recorded 2.2mm and 10mm respectively.
This May will probably be most remembered for the number of thunderstorms affecting the area. I recorded an unprecedented (in my memory) four consecutive days of thunderstorms.
It was also warm with a couple of days making the top 10 of hottest days since 1959. The mean temperature finished 15.1C, 2C warmer than average, the warmest May for seven years and the 8th= warmest since 1797.
Rainfall at 65.5mm was 128 per cent of average and slightly drier than last year.
Some 244hrs of sunshine were recorded, 134 per cent of average, making it the sunniest May for 7 years, and the 11th sunniest since 1881.
Spring finished with a mean temp of 11C, 0.8C above average, 1C cooler than last year. Rainfall at 181.9mm, was 135 per cent of average, making it the wettest spring for 10 years. Sunshine of only 411.2 hours made it the dullest spring since 2006.
I normally headline these monthly reviews by referring to the most notable weather but this April, often a fairly non-descript mid-spring affair, offered pretty much every type of weather.
The mean temperature finished 11.7C, 1.9C above average and the warmest for four years.
Rainfall was 55mm, 129 per cent of average and the wettest for 6 years.
Sunshine was just 110 hours, the dullest for 40 years and the 16th dullest since 1881.
Hidden in the positive monthly anomaly was the warmest April day in a local record going back to 1959: 29.1C on the 19th – a figure that represents a positive anomaly of 15.5C and occurring at the start of the warmest April heatwave since 2011. It was remarkable that such an anomaly happened so close to a record negative anomaly the previous month.
Yet, just over a week later, temperatures lurched cold again with one of coldest last days of April on record. Though the 24hr record wasn’t broken the noon-6pm record going back 60 years was beaten.
The wettest day occurred on the 9th with 10mm falling.