For the past few years August has often failed to match up to June and July for hot, summery weather. Looking at the models this August promises something very warm though whether it is another 1995 or 2003 is anyone’s guess.

I’ve put together a few top 10s of stats for Wanstead, St James’s Park and Heathrow for the month of August.

Some national UK August values according to TORRO

Hottest: 38.5C Brogdale, near Faversham, Kent – 10th 2003
Coldest: -4.5C Lagganlia, Highland – 21st 1973
Wettest: 238.8 Cannington, Somerset – 18th 1924

In terms of climatology August maxima, considering the 1981-2010 average, shows a fairly steady decrease through the month, though around the 15th there is often a spike before a steady decrease to month’s end. This would reflect the late August winds singularity which occurs every year around the 20th at 67 per cent probability.

The average rainfall graphic shows that downpour amounts are fairly random from year to year. The driest days are the 15th and the 30th.